When Did the Baby Boom Reached Its Peak
United States nascence rate (births per 1000 population).[1] The US Census Agency defines baby boomers every bit those born between mid-1946 and mid-1964 (shown in cherry-red).[2]
The centre of the 20th century was marked by a significant and persistent increment in fertility rates in many countries of the earth, especially in the West. The term baby nail is ofttimes used to refer to this particular smash, mostly considered to have started immediately after World War Ii, although some demographers identify it before or during the war.[ citation needed ] This terminology led to those born during this baby blast beingness nicknamed the baby boomer generation.
The boom coincided with a union boom.[three] The increment in fertility was driven primarily by a subtract in childlessness and an increment in parity progression to a 2nd child. In virtually of the Western countries, progression to a third child and beyond declined, which, coupled with aforementioned increment in transition to first and second child, resulted in higher homogeneity in family sizes. The baby boom was most prominent amidst educated and economically active women.[iv] [five]
The baby boom ended with a meaning decline in fertility rates in the 1960s and 1970s, later called the infant bosom past demographers.[6]
Causes [edit]
Economist and demographer Richard Easterlin in his "Twentieth Century American Population Growth" (2000), explains the growth pattern of the American population in the 20th century past examining the fertility rate fluctuations and the decreasing mortality charge per unit. Easterlin attempts to show the cause of the baby smash and baby bust by the "relative income" theory, despite the diverse other theories that these events have been attributed to. The "relative income" theory suggests that couples choose to have children based on a couple's ratio of potential earning power and the want to obtain material objects. This ratio depends on the economic stability of the land and how people are raised to value cloth objects. The "relative income" theory explains the baby blast past suggesting that the late 1940s and the 1950s brought low desires to have material objects, because of the Not bad Depression and World War 2, every bit well every bit plentiful chore opportunities (being a mail service-war menstruum). These two factors gave rise to a high relative income, which encouraged high fertility. Following this menstruum, the next generation had a greater want for material objects, yet, an economic slowdown in the United States made jobs harder to learn. This resulted in lower fertility rates causing the Baby Bosom.[7]
Jan Van Bavel and David Southward. Reher proposed that the increase in nuptiality (spousal relationship boom) coupled with low efficiency of contraception was the main cause of the babe boom. They doubted the explanations (including the Easterlin hypothesis) which considered the post-war economic prosperity that followed deprivation of the Dandy Depression as main crusade of the infant boom, stressing that Gdp-birth charge per unit clan was not consistent (positive earlier 1945 and negative later) with Gross domestic product growth accounting for a mere 5 percent of the variance in the rough nascency rate over the menses studied by the authors.[8] Information shows that only in few countries in that location was significant and persistent increase in the marital fertility index during the baby nail, which suggests that about of the increase in fertility was driven by the increase in wedlock rates.[9]
Jona Schellekens claims that the rise in male person earnings that started in the late 1930s accounts for about of the ascent in matrimony rates and that Richard Easterlin's hypothesis according to which a relatively minor birth cohort entering the labor market acquired the matrimony boom is not consequent with data from the U.s..[10]
Matthias Doepke, Moshe Hazan, and Yishay Maoz all argued that the babe boom was mainly caused by the alleged crowding out from the labor strength of females who reached adulthood during the 1950s by females who started to work during the Second Globe War and did not quit their jobs subsequently the economy recovered.[11] Andriana Bellou and Emanuela Cardia promote a similar argument, just they merits women who entered the labor force during the Groovy Depression crowded out women who participated in the infant boom.[12] Glenn Sandström disagrees with both variants of this interpretation based on the data from Sweden showing that an increase in nuptiality (which was 1 of the main causes of an increase in fertility) was limited to economically agile women. He pointed out that in 1939 a law prohibiting the firing of a adult female when she got married was passed in the country.[xiii]
Greenwood, Seshadri, and Vandenbroucke accredit the baby boom to the diffusion of new household appliances that led to reduction of costs of childbearing.[14] Even so Martha J. Bailey and William J. Collins criticize their explanation on the basis that improvement of household technology began before baby boom, differences and changes in buying of appliances and electrification in U.Southward. counties are negatively correlated with nascence rates during baby smash, that the correlation between cohort fertility of the relevant women and admission to electrical service in early machismo is negative, and that Amish as well experienced the baby blast.[15]
Judith Blake and Prithwis Das Gupta point out the increase in ideal family size in the times of baby boom.[16]
Peter Lindert partially aspect the babe smash to the extension of income tax coverage on nigh of the United states of america population in the early 1940s. The latter concretize already existed[ vague ] and newly created tax exemptions for children and married couples creating the new incentive for earlier marriage and higher fertility.[17] It is proposed that considering the taxation was progressive the baby boom was more than pronounced amidst the richer population.[18]
Past region [edit]
Northward America [edit]
In the United states and Canada, the baby boom was among the highest in the world.[xix] In 1946, live births in the U.Due south. surged from 222,721 in January to 339,499 in October. By the cease of the 1940s, almost 32 meg babies had been born, compared with 24 million in the 1930s. In 1954, almanac births outset topped four million and did not drop beneath that figure until 1965, when 4 out of ten Americans were under the age of twenty.[20] As a result of the babe boom and traditional gender roles, getting married immediately subsequently loftier school became commonplace and women increasingly encountered tremendous pressure to marry by the age of 20. A joke emerged at the fourth dimension around comedic speculation that women were going to college to earn their Thou.R.S. (Mrs) degree due to the increased marriage rate.[21]
The baby boom was stronger among American Catholics than among Protestants.[22]
The exact kickoff and end of the baby blast is debated. The U.S. Census Bureau defines baby boomers equally those born between mid-1946 and mid-1964,[2] although the U.Due south. birth rate began to increase in 1941, and decline after 1957. Deborah Carr considers baby boomers to be those born betwixt 1944 and 1959,[23] while Strauss and Howe identify the starting time of the baby blast in 1943.[24] In Canada the baby nail is usually divers as occurring from 1947 to 1966. Canadian soldiers were repatriated afterwards than American servicemen, and Canada's birthrate did not start to rise until 1947. Nearly Canadian demographers adopt to apply the afterward date of 1966 as the smash'south cease twelvemonth in that country. The afterwards end to the boom in Canada than in the Usa has been ascribed to a afterwards adoption of birth control pills.[25] [26]
In the United States, more babies were born during the seven years subsequently 1948 than in the previous thirty, causing a shortage of teenage babysitters. At ane point during this catamenia, Madison, New Jersey just had l babysitters for its population of 8,000, dramatically increasing demand for sitters. In 1950, out of every $seven that a California couple spent to go to the movies, $5 went to paying a babysitter.[27]
Europe [edit]
France and Austria experienced the strongest baby booms in Europe.[19] In contrast to most other countries, the French and Austrian baby booms were driven primarily by an increment in marital fertility.[28] In the French case, pronatalist policies were an important factor in this increment.[29] Weaker babe booms occurred in Federal republic of germany, Switzerland, Belgium and the netherlands.[30]
In the Great britain the baby smash occurred in two waves. After a short get-go moving ridge of the baby smash during the war and immediately afterwards, peaking in 1946, the U.k. experienced a second wave during the 1960s, with a peak in births in 1964.[31]
The baby boom in Republic of ireland began during the Emergency alleged in the land during the Second World War.[32] Laws on contraception were restrictive in Ireland, and the baby boom was more than prolonged in this land. Secular reject of fertility began only in the 1970s and particularly afterward the legalization of contraception in 1979. The union nail was even more prolonged and did not recede until the 1980s.[33]
The baby blast was very stiff in Norway and Republic of iceland, significant in Finland, moderate in Sweden and relatively weak in Denmark.[19]
Baby nail was absent or not very strong in Italian republic, Greece, Portugal and Kingdom of spain.[xix] There were all the same regional variations in Kingdom of spain, with a considerable baby boom occurring in regions such equally Catalonia.[34]
There was a stiff baby nail in Czechoslovakia, only it was weak or absent in Poland, Bulgaria, Russia, Estonia and Lithuania, partly equally a event of the Soviet dearth of 1946–47.[nineteen] [35]
Oceania [edit]
The volume of baby blast was the largest in the globe in New Zealand and second-largest in Australia.[19] Like the U.s., the New Zealand baby nail was stronger amid Catholics than Protestants.[36]
The author and columnist Bernard Salt places the Australian baby boom between 1946 and 1961.[37] [38]
Asia and Africa [edit]
Along with the adult countries of the West, many developing countries (among them Kingdom of morocco, China and Turkey) also witnessed the baby boom.[39] The baby nail in Mongolia, one of such developing countries, is probably explained by improvement in wellness and living standards related to the establishment of a socialist society.[forty]
Latin America [edit]
There was also a baby boom in Latin American countries, excepting Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. An increment in fertility was driven by a decrease in childlessness and, in most nations, past an increase in parity progression to second, third and 4th births. Its magnitude was largest in Costa rica and Panama.[41]
See likewise [edit]
- Aging in the American workforce
- Post–World War II economical expansion
Bibliography [edit]
- Barkan, Elliott Robert. From All Points: America's Immigrant Due west, 1870s–1952, (2007) 598 pages
- Barrett, Richard E., Donald J. Bogue, and Douglas L. Anderton. The Population of the U.s. third Edition (1997) compendium of information
- Carter, Susan B., Scott Sigmund Gartner, Michael R. Haines, and Alan 50. Olmstead, eds. The Historical Statistics of the Usa (Cambridge Upward: 6 vol; 2006) vol ane on population; bachelor online; massive information compendium; online version in Excel
- Chadwick Bruce A. and Tim B. Heaton, eds. Statistical Handbook on the American Family unit. (1992)
- Easterlin, Richard A. The American Babe Boom in Historical Perspective, (1962), the single nigh influential study complete text online [ permanent dead link ]
- Easterlin, Richard A. Birth and Fortune: The Impact of Numbers on Personal Welfare (1987), by leading economist excerpt and text search
- Gillon, Steve. Boomer Nation: The Largest and Richest Generation Ever, and How It Changed America (2004), by leading historian. excerpt and text search
- Hawes Joseph M. and Elizabeth I. Nybakken, eds. American Families: a Research Guide and Historical Handbook. (Greenwood Press, 1991)
- Klein, Herbert S. A Population History of the The states. Cambridge University Press, 2004. 316 pp
- Macunovich, Diane J. Birth Quake: The Baby Nail and Its Aftershocks (2002) excerpt and text search
- Mintz Steven and Susan Kellogg. Domestic Revolutions: a Social History of American Family Life. (1988)
- Wells, Robert 5. Uncle Sam's Family (1985), full general demographic history
- Weiss, Jessica. To Have and to Concord: Marriage, the Baby Boom, and Social Alter (2000) excerpt and text search
References [edit]
- ^ Pre-2003 information came from: "Table 1-1. Live Births, Birth Rates, and Fertility Rates, by Race: United States, 1909–2003". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). (Retrieved from: "Vital Statistics of the United States, 2003, Volume I, Natality". CDC.) Post-2003 data came from: "National Vital Statistics Reports" (December 8, 2010). CDC. Volume 59, no. 1. The graph is an expanded SVG version of File:UsBirthRate.1909.2003.png
- ^ a b "Fueled by Aging Baby Boomers, Nation's Older Population to Nearly Double in the Next twenty Years, Census Bureau Reports". United states of america Demography Agency. May 6, 2014.
- ^ Hajnal, John (Apr 1953). "The Marriage Boom". Population Alphabetize. xix (2): 80–101. doi:10.2307/2730761. JSTOR 2730761.
- ^ Van Bavel, January; Klesment, Martin; Beaujouan, Eva; Brzozowska, Zuzanna; Puur, Allan (2018). "Seeding the gender revolution: Women's education and cohort fertility amid the babe blast generations". Population Studies. 72 (3): 283–304. doi:10.1080/00324728.2018.1498223. PMID 30280973.
- ^ Sandström, Glenn; Marklund, Emil (2018). "A prelude to the dual provider family – The changing role of female labor force participation and occupational field on fertility outcomes during the baby boom in Sweden 1900–60". The History of the Family. 24: 149–173. doi:x.1080/1081602X.2018.1556721.
- ^ Greenwood, Jeremy; Seshadri, Ananth; Vandenbroucke, Guillaume (2005). "The Baby Boom and Babe Bust" (PDF). American Economic Review. 95 (1): 183–207. doi:ten.1257/0002828053828680.
- ^ See Richard A. Easterlin, Birth and Fortune: The Touch of Numbers on Personal Welfare (1987)
- ^ Van Bavel, January; Reher, David S. (2013). "The Infant Nail and Its Causes: What We Know and What We Need to Know". Population and Evolution Review. 39 (2): 257–288. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00591.x.
- ^ Sánchez-Barricarte, Jesús J. (2018). "Measuring and explaining the baby blast in the developed globe in the mid-20th century" (PDF). Demographic Inquiry. 38: 1203–1204. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.40.
- ^ Schellekens, Jona (2017). "The Marriage Nail and Union Bust in the Us: An Age-menses-cohort Assay". Population Studies. 71 (ane): 65–82. doi:10.1080/00324728.2016.1271140. PMID 28209083.
- ^ Doepke, Matthias; Hazan, Moshe; Maoz, Yishay D. (2015). "The Baby Boom and Globe State of war II: A Macroeconomic Analysis". Review of Economical Studies. 82 (3): 1031–1073. doi:10.3386/w13707.
- ^ Bellou, Andriana; Cardia, Emanuela (2014). "Baby-Boom, Baby-Bosom and the Nifty Depression". CiteSeerXx.1.1.665.133.
- ^ Sandström, Glenn (November 2017). "A reversal of the socioeconomic gradient of nuptiality during the Swedish mid-20th-century baby smash" (PDF). Demographic Research. 37: 1625–1658. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2017.37.50.
- ^ Greenwood, Jeremy; Seshadri, Ananth; Vandenbroucke, Guillaume (2005). "The Baby Boom and Infant Bust". American Economic Review. 95 (1): 183–207. doi:ten.1257/0002828053828680.
- ^ Bailey, Martha J.; Collins, William J. (2011). "Did Improvements in Household Technology Cause the Baby Boom? Evidence from Electrification, Appliance Diffusion, and the Amish" (PDF). American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. iii (2): 189–217. doi:x.1257/mac.3.2.189.
- ^ Blake, Judith; Das Gupta, Prithwis (December 1975). "Reproductive Motivation Versus Contraceptive Engineering science: Is Recent American Experience an Exception?". Population and Development Review. 1 (2): 229–249. doi:10.2307/1972222. JSTOR 1972222.
- ^ Lindert, Peter H. (1978). Fertility and Scarcity in America . Princeton, New Jersey, United states: Princeton Academy Press. ISBN9781400870066.
- ^ Zhao, Jackie Kai. "War Debt and the Babe Boom". Society for Economical Dynamics. CiteSeerX10.i.1.205.8899.
- ^ a b c d e f Van Bavel, January; Reher, David Due south. (2013). "The Babe Boom and Its Causes: What Nosotros Know and What We Need to Know". Population and Development Review. 39 (2): 264–265. doi:ten.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00591.x.
- ^ Figures in Landon Y. Jones, "Swinging 60s?" in Smithsonian Magazine, Jan 2006, pp 102–107.
- ^ "People & Events: Mrs. America: Women'south Roles in the 1950s". PBS. Retrieved July 22, 2008.
- ^ Westoff, Charles F.; Jones, Elise F. (1979). "The end of "Catholic" fertility". Census. 16 (2): 209–217. doi:x.2307/2061139. JSTOR 2061139.
- ^ Carr, Deborah (2002). "The Psychological Consequences of Work-Family unit Trade-Offs for Three Cohorts of Men and Women" (PDF). Social Psychology Quarterly. 65 (2): 103–124. doi:10.2307/3090096. JSTOR 3090096.
- ^ Strauss, William; Howe, Neil (1991). Generations: the history of America's future, 1584 to 2069 . William Morrow & Co. p. 85. ISBN0688119123.
- ^ The dates 1946 to 1962 are given in Doug Owram, Built-in at the correct fourth dimension: a history of the baby boom generation (1997)
- ^ David Pes, Smash, Bust and Repeat: Profiting from the Demographic Shift in the 21st Century (1997) come across Pearce, Tralee (June 24, 2006). "By definition: Boom, bust, X and why". The Earth and Mail. Archived from the original on August 7, 2006.
- ^ Forman-Brunell, Miriam (2009). Babysitter: An American History . New York University Press. pp. 49–50. ISBN978-0-8147-2759-1.
- ^ Sánchez-Barricarte, Jesús J. (2018). "Measuring and explaining the infant boom in the developed earth in the mid-20th century" (PDF). Demographic Enquiry. 38: 1203–1204. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.twoscore.
- ^ Calot, Gérard; Sardon, Jean-Paul (1998). "La vraie histoire du baby boom". Sociétal. 16: 41–44.
- ^ Frejka, Tomas (2017). "The Fertility Transition Revisited: A Accomplice Perspective" (PDF). Comparative Population Studies. 42: 97. doi:10.12765/CPoS-2017-09en.
- ^ Office for National Statistics Births in England and Wales: 2017
- ^ "Annual Report of the Registrar-Full general of Marriages, Births and Deaths in Ireland 1952" (PDF). Cardinal Statistics Office . Retrieved Feb 15, 2019.
- ^ Coleman, D. A. (1992). "The Demographic Transition in Ireland in International Context" (PDF). Proceedings of the British Academy. 79: 65.
- ^ Cabré, Anna; Torrents, Àngels (1990). "La Elevada nupcialidad como posible desencadenante de la transición demográfica en Cataluña" (PDF): three–four.
- ^ Frejka, Tomas (2017). "The Fertility Transition Revisited: A Accomplice Perspective" (PDF). Comparative Population Studies. 42: 100. doi:ten.12765/CPoS-2017-09en.
- ^ Mol, Hans (1967). "Organized religion in New Zealand". Athenaeum de Sciences Sociales des Religions. 24: 123.
- ^ Common salt, Bernard (2004). The Big Shift. South Yarra, Vic.: Hardie Grant Books. ISBN978-i-74066-188-1.
- ^ Head, Neil; Arnold, Peter (Nov 2003). "Volume Review: The Large Shift" (PDF). The Australian Periodical of Emergency Management. eighteen (4). Archived from the original on March 5, 2009.
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: CS1 maint: bot: original URL condition unknown (link) - ^ Reher, David; Requena, Miguel (2014). "The mid-twentieth century fertility boom from a global perspective". The History of the Family. xx (3): 420–445. doi:10.1080/1081602X.2014.944553.
- ^ Spoorenberg, Thomas (2015). "Reconstructing historical fertility modify in Mongolia: Impressive fertility rise before continued fertility decline" (PDF). Demographic Inquiry. 33: 841–870. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2015.33.29.
- ^ Reher, David; Requena, Miguel (2014). "Was at that place a mid-20th-century fertility blast in latin america?" (PDF). Revista de Historia Economica – Journal of Iberian and Latin American Economic History. 32 (3): 319–350. doi:10.1017/S0212610914000172. hdl:10016/29916.
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid-20th_century_baby_boom
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